Thanx,
@cmcdonald for that info. In more time we will have more information.
Back in my response #23 I raised the BS flag and asked if it was worth it to go to the extent of the present economically disruptive response.
Truth is that I really don't know. I am thankfully already "socially distant," but that is me in general in daily public behavior.
I have classroom and large group meeting events that I participated dozens of times last year, some 500+ people, but those are now on hold and constant evaluation of the time appropriate for us to do a restart.
What is the balance of deaths to inconvenience?
Expected Deaths --- Response
1-100 --- Do nothing
1000 ---
?
10,000 --- Testing, innoculation, treatment + ?
100,000 --- Quarantine, behavior sanctions, business restrictions
1 Meg --- Do a lot!
Right now the numbers on my TV for US casualties are:
Cases confirmed - 25493
Total US deaths - 307
That puts us on the 100 to 10000 deaths range marked by the big
? above.
So on balance, would our present preventative damage to the US economy be worth it if deaths were somehow guaranteed to level out w/ fewer than 1000 deaths? I don't believe in the old "If we can save just one life it's worth it" line. There is a lot of collateral pain with any corrective action.
It is a matter of philosophy, science, high level thinking, experimentation, guessing, luck and a shitload of unknowns beyond.
I'm glad I'm not in charge of the input for the guessing department. I am not criticizing anybody's actions at this point because I am so damned ignorant about all of this.
I don't know whether the response team has
already gone too far or if they are still behind the curve.
Any of you Mossies got some thinking on this?