Gunny, it would certainly be ugly. Civil War II. Maybe this time the shot heard round the world will be some poor guy in CT that has just had enough and won't surrender the 2nd amendment.
Good friend , if I may give my opinion, subject to 100% inaccuracy.
We are staring straight into a revolution, we call it stand replacement at work.
You have different degrees of damage from beneficial fire to stand replacement......starting over completely from nothing, a 200 year old entity burned to the ground to rise again.
I think like you guys that it will have to be a shot heard around the world to get things fired up.
I think it will quickly unfold into a culture war, no borders, no lines, not racial but a political, religious, neighbor against neighbor, people who look the same killing each other over beliefs.
The government will be hated by everyone, they cannot win against that.
All the drones and crap in the world wont do them any good in the end.
First there will be the solders and command that will fight against its own citizens no doubt, they disserve to die but they will take many with them.
Then there will be the solders and command that wont, allies to be supported at all cost.
Then there are vets and patriots who are trained and pose a big challenge to the government because patriots are underground. Most vets I know are ready, some aren't. They for the most part are on the peoples side imo. They gave the most to prserve our way of life and don't want it to be for nothing. They did it for family and friends not the Feds.
There will be a large population that will directly support the fighters with shelter, hiding, food, medical attention.
There will be some of the population indifferent , not wanting to help and draw attention too much but probably wont snitch you off. Then there will be some who would give you up.
A lot would die but in the end the people will prevail.